A Look Back at the U.S. Hay Market Over the Last 100 Years

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Hay is the 3rd largest U.S. crop in terms of harvest acres.  It also provides environmental services, notably erosion control. Understanding the U.S. hay market is therefore important for both market and policy reasons. This article written by Ohio State University's Carl Zulauf examines the U.S. hay market since 1919, or when the U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistical Service began to report data separately for alfalfa hay.

Production

Harvested tons of all hay trended higher during most of the 20th Century, but lower during the 21st Century (see Figure 1).  Tons of alfalfa increased from the late 1930s until the mid-1980s, but has declined since.  In contrast, tons of non-alfalfa trended erratically lower from 1919 until the early 1960s, but erratically higher since.

Harvest Acres

All hay acres peaked at 78 million in 1944 (see Figure 2).  Declines have been particularly large from 1955 through 1970 and post 2002.  Alfalfa acres increased until 1957, reaching 30 million; then remained stable until the late 1970s. Since 1979, alfalfa acres have declined 37{c78344d3e29215303d5d40d52b11c16d78bfae3d066d03ae10a9b147abb03b47} while non-alfalfa acres have increased 12{c78344d3e29215303d5d40d52b11c16d78bfae3d066d03ae10a9b147abb03b47}, resulting in alfalfa’s share of all hay acres declining from 45{c78344d3e29215303d5d40d52b11c16d78bfae3d066d03ae10a9b147abb03b47} to 31{c78344d3e29215303d5d40d52b11c16d78bfae3d066d03ae10a9b147abb03b47}.


Yield

Yields of alfalfa and non-alfalfa hay both trended higher during periods that spanned only one-third of the last 100 years:  from 1950 until the mid-1980s for alfalfa and from 1965 until the mid-1990s for non-alfalfa (see Figure 3).  Yield of all hay increased prior to 1950 but this increase was due to hay acres shifting i