Australia Wheat Prices Expected to Stay Weak


CANBERRA (Dow Jones) — Australia is set to produce another big wheat crop this crop year, ensuring domestic prices remain relatively weak by world standards, agricultural lender National Australia Bank Ltd. (NAB.AU) reported Friday.

Production is forecast to reach 26.1 million metric tons in the year ending March 31, 2013, down 12{fd15d42d1b024b97d6d50958be27cc8145b6addb99e015780abccf2984117bb0} from a record 29.5 million tons last year, Michael Creed, the bank’s agribusiness economist, said in a monthly sector review.

“Driving our view is the expectation of above-average yields on the east coast, where the wettest two-year period on record has set up an excellent subsoil moisture profile.”

Canola will be planted on some lost wheat acreage.

Australia’s annual wheat demand of around 6 million tons is expected to remain more than adequately supplied. Shipments are happening at a record pace, but if the crop forecast comes to pass, total domestic supply at the end of 2012 could reach a massive 36 million tons, weighing on Australian prices relative to Chicago futures for some time, Creed said.

Source:  Dow Jones

Posted by Haylie Shipp


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